8 Sept · 10:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RM
🇨🇿Radek Muller
ELO 1498
FormLLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Muller
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlumsky
ELO 1437
FormWWLWL
55%
45%
🌟Muller rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (50)
Fair odds · Muller
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~81 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H10-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-3)