8 Sept · 12:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1578
FormWWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Fitl
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Pros
ELO 1467
FormLWLWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Fitl
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)