8 Sept · 12:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Snr
ELO 1466
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Snr
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1425
FormLWLLL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jancak🌟Snr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (22)
Fair odds · Snr
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.