8 Sept · 14:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1425
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sedivy
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedivy
ELO 1471
FormLLLL
46%
54%
🌟Jancak covers set handicap as underdog 64% (76)
Fair odds · Sedivy
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.