8 Sept · 11:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1603
FormLLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Skvrna
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1536
FormLWWWW
55%
45%
🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (136)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H8-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-5)