8 Sept · 13:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1698
FormLLWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Benes
JZ
🇨🇿Jachym Zacharda
ELO 1558
FormLWLLL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Benes
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+140
H2H15-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+140)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)