8 Sept · 09:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1474
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1494
FormLWWWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sturma🌟Sturma covers set handicap as underdog 69% (91)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H49-49
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.