8 Sept · 08:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Srnka
ELO 1607
FormLWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Srnka
RM
🇨🇿Radek Muller
ELO 1498
FormLLWLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Srnka
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~82 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H6-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)