8 Sept · 13:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1603
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Skvrna
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1593
FormWWLWW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krenek🌟Krenek goes over total as underdog 68% (81)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H40-34
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.