8 Sept · 13:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿David Sochor
ELO 1414
FormWLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sykora
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1505
FormWLLLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Sykora
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+91
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)