8 Sept · 09:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlumsky
ELO 1437
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Chlumsky
RJ
🇨🇿Robert Jamrich
ELO 1389
FormWWWLW
54%
46%
🌟Jamrich rarely covers set handicap as underdog 26% (27)
Fair odds · Chlumsky
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H14-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.