8 Sept · 09:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1425
FormLWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1494
FormLWWWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jancak🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (97)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H19-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-10)