8 Sept · 09:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1538
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Gembala
JG
🇨🇿Jan Gembala
ELO 1613
FormWWWWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Gembala rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (88)
Fair odds · Gembala
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)