8 Sept · 12:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿David Sochor
ELO 1414
FormWLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Langer
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1482
FormLLWLW
44%
56%
🌟Langer rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (108)
Fair odds · Langer
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H8-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-7)