8 Sept · 13:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1645
FormWLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vesecky
JZ
🇨🇿Jachym Zacharda
ELO 1558
FormLWLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Vesecky
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H15-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-11)