8 Sept · 13:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedivy
ELO 1471
FormLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sturma
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1474
FormLWWWL
50%
50%
🌟Sturma rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (68)
Fair odds · Sturma
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 39% · 2.56· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.