8 Sept · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1534
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Radlo
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1572
FormLLLLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Radlo
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.04· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H28-30
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.