8 Sept · 10:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇨🇿Mateusz Burkacki
ELO 1465
FormLWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Radlo
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1572
FormLWLLL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Radlo
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H20-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-17)