8 Sept · 16:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KB
🇨🇿Karel Baros
ELO 1529
FormWWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Baros
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Konvicka
ELO 1475
FormLLLLW
54%
46%
🌟Konvicka covers set handicap as underdog 67% (48)
Fair odds · Baros
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H12-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.