8 Sept · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇨🇿Mateusz Burkacki
ELO 1453
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Wloszek
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1477
FormLWLLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Wloszek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H15-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.