8 Sept · 13:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DS
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1545
FormWLWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Ovcharenko
MO
🇨🇿Maksim Ovcharenko
ELO 1673
FormWLWLL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Ovcharenko
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 67% · 1.48· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+128
H2H7-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+128)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-5)