8 Sept · 16:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1575
FormWWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kanak
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Konvicka
ELO 1475
FormLLLLW
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Konvicka🌟Kanak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (55)
Fair odds · Kanak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)