8 Sept · 18:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PK
🇨🇿Piotr Kedzierski
ELO 1333
FormLLWLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Arkadiusz
WA
🇨🇿Wiekiera Arkadiusz
ELO 1558
FormWLLWW
32%
68%
Fair odds · Arkadiusz
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 73% · 1.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+225
H2H45-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+225)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (45-16)