8 Sept · 20:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kos
ELO 1494
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Arkadiusz
WA
🇨🇿Wiekiera Arkadiusz
ELO 1555
FormLWWLL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Arkadiusz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 52% · 1.91· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H24-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-17)