8 Sept · 21:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1477
FormLWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Budik
BB
🇨🇿Bohuslav Budik
ELO 1563
FormLWLLW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rein🌟Budik goes over total as favourite 78% (59)
Fair odds · Budik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H18-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-12)