8 Sept · 23:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JC
🇨🇿Jakub Caban
ELO 1511
FormLWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Patryk
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1605
FormLWWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+94
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)