9 Sept · 07:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1509
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sindler
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1480
FormLWLLW
52%
48%
🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (97)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H26-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.