9 Sept · 08:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1511
FormWWWWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Brozek
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1645
FormWLLWL
39%
61%
🌟Langer covers set handicap as underdog 62% (149)
Fair odds · Brozek
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+134
H2H14-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+134)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-9)