9 Sept · 08:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1525
FormLLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sedlacek
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1522
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
🌟Pawlik covers set handicap as underdog 66% (62)
Fair odds · Sedlacek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H4-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.