9 Sept · 13:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1474
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Benes
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1538
FormLWLLL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kantor🌟Kantor covers set handicap as underdog 63% (75)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)