9 Sept · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1542
FormWLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Brozek
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1645
FormWLLWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Brozek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+103
H2H55-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (55-30)