9 Sept · 09:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1509
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sindler
AS
🇨🇿Adam Strelec
ELO 1490
FormWLWLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Strelec🌟Strelec covers set handicap as underdog 70% (40)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H18-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.