9 Sept · 12:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1613
FormWWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Skvrna
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1525
FormLLWLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sedlacek🌟Sedlacek covers set handicap as underdog 71% (38)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H16-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-8)