9 Sept · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1564
FormWWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Skvarskyi
DS
🇨🇿Dmytro Skvarskyi
ELO 1650
FormLWWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Skvarskyi
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H15-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-1)