9 Sept · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1552
FormWLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Lysakowski
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1644
FormWWLWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 48% · 2.07· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+92
H2H90-104
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)