9 Sept · 12:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1662
FormWWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Brozek
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1605
FormWLWLW
55%
45%
🌟Rek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (51)
Fair odds · Brozek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H32-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-19)