9 Sept · 17:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1519
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Cesak
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cesak
ELO 1575
FormWLWLW
45%
55%
🌟Cesak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (64)
Fair odds · Cesak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H10-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-8)