9 Sept · 16:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1440
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Skvor
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1495
FormWWWLW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jokiel🌟Skvor rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (57)
Fair odds · Skvor
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H6-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)