9 Sept · 17:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KP
🇨🇿Kamil Przeczek
ELO 1442
FormLWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Przeczek
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1440
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jokiel🌟Jokiel covers set handicap as underdog 63% (57)
Fair odds · Przeczek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.