9 Sept · 20:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1495
FormWWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Skvor
JV
🇨🇿Jiri Vanous
ELO 1435
FormLWWWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vanous🌟Skvor rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (57)
Fair odds · Skvor
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)