9 Sept · 17:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇨🇿Martin Lorenc
ELO 1487
FormWLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Lorenc
RB
🇨🇿Radomir Benesz
ELO 1378
FormLLWLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Lorenc
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)