9 Sept · 18:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MR
🇨🇿Matyas Rojka
ELO 1445
FormWWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Motacek
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Motacek
ELO 1482
FormWWWLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Motacek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.