9 Sept · 16:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1395
FormLWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Motacek
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Motacek
ELO 1482
FormWWWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Motacek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)