9 Sept · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kos
ELO 1512
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kos
MS
🇨🇿Michal Szostak
ELO 1483
FormLWLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Kos
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H6-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.