9 Sept · 18:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇨🇿Michal Szostak
ELO 1483
FormLWLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Szostak
PK
🇨🇿Piotr Kedzierski
ELO 1350
FormLWLWW
61%
39%
Fair odds · Szostak
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~80 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+133
H2H13-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+133)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-10)