10 Sept · 15:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1465
FormWLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Nadvornik
VN
🇨🇿Vaclav Nadvornik
ELO 1659
FormWWLWL
35%
65%
🌟Nadvornik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (32)
Fair odds · Nadvornik
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+194
H2H43-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+194)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-17)