10 Sept · 11:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1535
FormLWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kindl
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kus
ELO 1436
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
🌟Kindl goes over total as favourite 75% (60)
Fair odds · Kindl
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+99
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)