10 Sept · 12:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MH
🇨🇿Matej Holub
ELO 1583
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Fitl
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1628
FormWWWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Fitl
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H9-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.