10 Sept · 08:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TS
🇨🇿Tadeas Slivka
ELO 1436
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mandrysz
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1466
FormWLLLL
48%
52%
🌟Slivka stays under total as underdog 65% (23)
Fair odds · Mandrysz
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H8-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.