10 Sept · 07:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Matus
ELO 1518
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Matus
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zajac
ELO 1422
FormLLLLW
58%
42%
🌟Matus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (65)
Fair odds · Matus
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+96
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)